Like SAG, DGA and PGA, WGA is made up of voters in the writer's branch of the Academy (though there are more in the branch than they're are in the guild), so who they vote for is important. However, it's also important to remember that when choosing winners, the entire Academy votes, not just the respective categories.
So then, does this mean Her and Captain Phillips win screenplay Oscars as well?
Her's chances are looking better than Captain Phillips'. American Hustle was in the same category, and the fact that Her won is pretty telling; to be chosen over the (presumed) favorite Hustle, is a big deal. If her can repeat this win at the big ceremony, it might be indicative of Hustle's waning support.
Captain Phillips, however, benefited greatly from the exclusion of 12 Years A Slave being ruled ineligible here. 12 YAS has been nominated for Adapted Screenplay at the Oscar, alongside Captain Phillips. Both have Best Picture nominations, but 12 YAS has more support (actors, directors, etc) so it has the edge over Phillips.
Take a look at the updated awards tally here
Here's the full list of winners-
Original Screenplay:
- Spike Jonze, Her
- Billy Ray, Captain Phillips based on the book A Captain's Duty: Somali Pirates, NAVY Seals, and Dangerous Days at Sea by Richard Phillips with Stephen Talty
- Sarah Polley, Stories We Tell
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